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nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2019-01-02 00:53
Funny to read this thread from the start.

I'm curious if SEC will give a green light this year or next.

Swiss regulator sets 800% capital for any presence of BTC in portfolio. Some start.
https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/business/risk-weighting_swiss-regulator-gives-risk-guidance-on-crypto-trading/44518298

Also G20 finally agreed to create framework. It can happen this or next year. They dont feel any rush.

Earlier my estimation of minimum was - 3000. Basically, happened. Today my estimate is that 1000 is still possible, because 50% of HODL'ers (8M BTC) have bought it at average price of 1000. They have "pizza price mentality".

FrankoC


Total Posts: 1
Joined: Jan 2019
 
Posted: 2019-01-19 16:38
I have a colleague who's setting up a regional crypto exchange. All the competitors are pretty weak, even by crypto-exchange standards. So the goal is to beat all the competition in terms of technology.
Maybe you should start with smth less complicated..Try to read about trading in general, investment (originators of mintos, for example).
Your link shows flat rates of pending transactions. And you're referencing Bloomberg as proof to someone who does this for a living. That makes no sense.

nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2019-02-14 14:56
Aha-ha...

The same man have said in Sep17 that "Bitcoin is fraud"

JPMCoin

“The applications are frankly quite endless; anything where you have a distributed ledger which involves corporations or institutions can use this.”

nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2019-06-21 21:11
10,000 tomorrow?

nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2019-06-28 10:06
[removed]
fake news :(

eläin


Total Posts: 68
Joined: Jun 2010
 
Posted: 2019-09-13 16:06
So anyone interested in crypto anymore? 245 days left until the next Bitcoin halvening:

Bitcoin inflation rate per annum: 3.73%
Bitcoin inflation rate per annum at next block halving event: 1.80%

Usually (well the only two times it has happened so far) a bubble has followed a halvening event. I'm quite confident that the pattern is a self fulfilling prophecy and it will happen again.

I also think that once Bakkt gets those physical Bitcoin futures running with decent volume we will see a Bitcoin ETF.

contango_and_cash


Total Posts: 119
Joined: Sep 2015
 
Posted: 2019-09-19 17:54
I've been managing a .6 Sharpe for the last 2 years.


eläin


Total Posts: 68
Joined: Jun 2010
 
Posted: 2020-05-08 07:20
My avatar has summoned me to post this: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-07/paul-tudor-jones-buys-bitcoin-says-he-s-reminded-of-gold-in-70s

Also Renaissance seems to have started to fool around: https://www.coindesk.com/166b-asset-manager-renaissance-eyes-bitcoin-futures-for-flagship-fund

nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-08 09:58
Before-halving pump-and-dump is nearly to explode.
Be careful.
.
(Aside, mumbling): though it might be not...

Kitno


Total Posts: 491
Joined: Mar 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-09 17:43
Aside from gold, linkers what else allows an inflation hedge aside from long dated oil and bitcoin? I suspect many HFs piling in.

All the soul of man is resolution, which in valiant men falters never, until their last breath.

Kitno


Total Posts: 491
Joined: Mar 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-09 18:28
And Bitcoin is a wealth tax/tithe tax hedge...

All the soul of man is resolution, which in valiant men falters never, until their last breath.

nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-10 13:29
Crypto payments is a digital offshore.

By the way, Paxful facilitates p2p trading of physical gold for BTC. Curious, which flows are impacted and what is motivation from both sides.

rftx713


Total Posts: 123
Joined: May 2016
 
Posted: 2020-05-10 14:29
Kitno - regarding the wealth tax hedge, this one throws me off. Are you suggesting since the government can't confiscate it, they can't tax it?

Kitno


Total Posts: 491
Joined: Mar 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-10 14:46
@rftx713, yes. Overlay the inability to confiscate Bitoin with the inability to inflate it and Bitcoin becomes quite interesting (at least until too many pile in and treat is as a commodity, which they will).

All the soul of man is resolution, which in valiant men falters never, until their last breath.

someprimetime


Total Posts: 15
Joined: Jul 2018
 
Posted: 2020-05-10 18:00
@kitno: Hasn't that already happened (commoditization) with the cboe futures?

Kitno


Total Posts: 491
Joined: Mar 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-10 22:24
To quote Monty Python: and yet does not GBP/USD have futures contracts? I was more pointing to the prevalence of the farmers vs speculators in Bitcoin.

All the soul of man is resolution, which in valiant men falters never, until their last breath.

someprimetime


Total Posts: 15
Joined: Jul 2018
 
Posted: 2020-05-11 23:47
Gotcha. I'm curious how miners are benefitting from lower oil prices, and if that means we see less miners selling off even in lieu of lower block rewards.

nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-12 06:30
> I'm curious how miners are benefitting from lower oil prices

Directly

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diesel_generator

someprimetime


Total Posts: 15
Joined: Jul 2018
 
Posted: 2020-05-12 06:37
You really think some random joe can compete with a well-funded operation or are you suggesting that some of these miners are actually using diesel generators behind the scenes? I want to believe...

nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-12 07:06
Dont know 100% about now but back in 2017news were full of stories about Venezuelans who used subsidized (=cheap) diesel/gazoline to mine. Venezuela was one of the leading mining country by then. I see no reason why this time should be different.

EspressoLover


Total Posts: 432
Joined: Jan 2015
 
Posted: 2020-05-12 20:45
Can the resident crypto experts weight in. Is there really any fundamental justification for why halving is bullish for BTC (besides simply the fact that people believe its bullish)?

My understanding is that the current rate of seniorage is basically de minims at this point. At least relative to the exchange rate volatility.

Good questions outrank easy answers. -Paul Samuelson

Kitno


Total Posts: 491
Joined: Mar 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-12 20:55
@EL if mining capacity is fairly unch then it is bullish, no?

That is to say the system is now economically viable (transactions fees charged by platforms & mining costs/efficiency). Given this was a known event few are likely to have switched off overnight but slowly decreased.

I would think the greater risk is a false sense of security with low energy prices. That surely is a greater system risk?

All the soul of man is resolution, which in valiant men falters never, until their last breath.

Its Grisha


Total Posts: 44
Joined: Nov 2019
 
Posted: 2020-05-12 21:16
Anyone come across any thoughtful research on how btc moves? The observed jump risk seems massive relative to its "normal" volatility profile. Is this big orders hitting phantom liquidity? I assume if you got far enough to have a huge order to trade, you would execute more carefully. Really feels like some more sinister form of manipulation is happening.

Its Grisha


Total Posts: 44
Joined: Nov 2019
 
Posted: 2020-05-12 21:16
edit: sorry, double post

nikol


Total Posts: 1122
Joined: Jun 2005
 
Posted: 2020-05-12 21:33
BTC utilizes binary twits schema through twitter pricing engine:
Twit up, twit down
Twit jump is rare.
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